There will be 10 million Tesla on the roads in 5 years

Tesla is a benchmark in sustainable mobility. Since the launch of the first Roadster, the California-born company has put a total of 4 additional models on sale. Being the Model S its first mass-production model, it has been possible to increase the production of cars thanks, above all, to its two access models. The Model 3 and Model Y are real successes in the electric car industry. They have even ousted their main competitors in the internal combustion market. 

This makes us ask a question. When would it be possible to reach the incredible number of 10 million Teslas circulating on the roads around the world? Estimating these characteristics is difficult. After all, we are dealing with a manufacturer that, for the moment, only has about 4.4 million deliveries made since the start of production. What can be said of their records?

When will we see 10 million Teslas roaming the roads?

Tesla has a strategic plan designed to increase its manufacturing volume over the next few years. In addition to the anticipated feasibility of the Model 3 Highland, the Cybertruck is expected to be able to deliver thousands of units worth a year as early as 2024. What seems certain, however, is that when Tesla reaches 10 million units, the company will have in its catalog a model of segment C. 

By having a price below $30,000 , the volume of demand would skyrocket. Even so, it is important to note that it is not possible to have data on this particular model. It is known that a project of these characteristics is being worked on, but there is no confirmation of its possible arrival. Be that as it may, the firm whose CEO is Elon Musk plans to continue growing progressively in terms of the assembly line. The best example of this is shown by the expansion of the Texas Gigafactory. 

tesla sales

In the previous graph, you can see how the evolution of units delivered by Tesla has been since the first quarter of 2016. The growth is exponential in each of the quarters if compared to the same period of the previous year. This confirms that, without a doubt, the volume of 10 million Teslas on the roads could be achieved within 4 or 5 years. More than double the number of units delivered remains to achieve these figures, but the growth is being unstoppable. Perhaps before the end of this decade?

Therefore, we will have to wait a few months to find out if the new generation of Model 3 responds in terms of sales and, of course, if the Model Y continues to lead the sales rankings as it is currently doing. Would anyone have ventured to forecast these numbers a decade ago? 

Lynda Reeder

I'm Lynda, I currently own Tesla. I write about electric cars. My aim is to provide information on how technology can improve the ownership experience of electric vehicles.

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